Mortgage Numbers Increase Last Week

According to data from the Mortgage Bankers Association mortgage application volume increased 4.2% in the week ending June 17th. Refinance volume specifically fell 3% during the same period making the year-over-year refinance application volume 77% lower than the same week ago last year. Refinance application volume made up only 29.7% of total applications last week.

 

  • The FHA share of total application volume increased to 12% from 11.8% the prior week.
  • The VA share of total application volume decreased to 10.7% from 11.7% the prior week.

Almost Half of All Homeowners Considered Equity Rich

As home prices continue to soar, the number of homeowners that are now considered “equity rich” has reached nearly 45%, a 13% increase year-over-year. For a homeowner to be considered equity rich they must have at least 50% equity in their home, which has become a much easier feat with rising home prices across the country. Idaho, Vermont, Utah and Washington had the highest rate of equity rich owners in Q1 of 2022. In the opposite case, only 3.2% of mortgaged homes were considered seriously underwater in the first quarter of 2022. Any homeowner owing 25% more than the current market value of their home is considered seriously underwater. Mississippi, Louisiana, and Wyoming had the highest level of mortgages considered seriously underwater. As home prices continue to rise as the back half of 2022 comes into sight, it’s expected that more and more homeowners will be considered equity rich going into 2023. By the same token it’s expected less homeowners will be considered seriously underwater on their mortgage.

First-Time Buyers Becoming Timid About Homebuying

Fannie Mae’s Home Purchase Sentiment Index tracks the housing market and consumer confidence to either buy or sell a home. In April, this index reached 68.5 marking the lowest level in the index since May 2020. The index is made up of six components including whether or not consumers believe it’s a good time to buy or sell and whether or not mortgage rates will rise or fall. According to the survey 76% of consumers think it’s a bad time to buy a home. The largest portion of survey responders that answered this way were between the ages of 18 to 34, showing that an increase in interest rates is concerning to many first-time homebuyers. Also included in the survey are questions about a consumer’s employment and income outlook. 84% of consumers believed they had nothing to worry about in regard to losing their jobs, but only 26% of consumers were making more money than this time last year.

New Mortgage Volume Slips 1.2%

According to a report from the Mortgage Bankers Association, new mortgage application volume fell 1.2% for the week ending May 20th. Refinances made up 32.3% of total application volume, marking a 0.7% decrease from the previous week. As interest rates start to steady, it will be interesting to see the effect on new mortgage demand.

 

  • The FHA share of new mortgage applications increased to 11.3% this week.
  • The VA share of new mortgage applications fell to 10.4% this week.

Year-Over-Year Mortgage Applications are Down 55%

The week ending May 13th saw new mortgage application volume fall 11% according to a report from the Mortgage Bankers Assocation. Comparing new mortgage applications to this time last year, the total volume is down 55.8%, led by a 75.8% decrease year-over-year in refinance mortgage applications. Rates being much higher than this time last year has caused current homeowners who missed out on refinancing lain 2021 to be on the sideline right now. Purchase application volume is only down 15.2% from this time last year as many homebuyers are seeing the affordability of owning a home versus renting in today’s market even with higher interest rates.

 

  • The FHA share of total application volume increased from 10.5% to 11.1% last week.
  • The VA share of total application volume remained constant at 10.5% last week.

 

Numbers Drop for New Mortgage Applications

According to a report from the Mortgage Bankers Association, mortgage application volume fell 5% last week. This drop was paced by an 8% fall in refinance mortgage applications, marking a number 68% lower than this time last year. Purchase mortgage application volume was down 14% year-over-year. The average 30-year fixed interest rate is now 2% higher than this time last year, making it clear why we are seeing these application trends in today’s market.

 

  • The FHA share of total applications increased to 9.9% from 9.5% the week prior.
  • The VA share of total applications increased to 10.1% from 9.9% the week prior.

Mortgage Applications Numbers Continue to Fall

During the period ending April 8th, mortgage application volume fell 1.3% according to a weekly survey from the Mortgage Bankers Association. Refinance application volume fell 5% from the previous week and 62% year-over-year. Almost four months into 2022, mortgage rates are up 1.5% causing refinance volume to drop drastically. Rates continuing to rise could cause further decreasing mortgage application volume as the year continues.

 

  • The FHA share of mortgage applications increased to 9.5% from 9.2% of total application volume last week.
  • The VA share of mortgage applications increased to 9.9% from 9.8% of total application volume last week.

Lee County Tops Country in Population Growth

According to statistics recently published by Census.gov, Lee County ranks 9th in the highest population growth country wide between July 1st 2020 and July 1st 2021. Lee County reportedly grew by 23,297 people during this period, less than 700 people fewer than Montgomery County in Texas which finished 8th in new population growth rankings. Punta Gorda, FL ranked as the 4th highest growth percentage during the same period, with a 3.7% population increase. 

 

https://www.census.gov/newsroom/press-releases/2022/population-estimates-counties-decrease.html

New Mortgage Interest Declines

The application volume for residential mortgages fell 6.8% for the period ending March 25th according to a report from the Mortgage Bankers Association.  With rates still rising, the incentive for people to refinance is less now than any point in 2021. Refinance application volume fell 15% from last period and is down 10.1% year over year. Refinance volume only makes up 40.6% of total mortgage application volume currently.

 

  • The VA share of mortgage application volume went from 9.8% to 9.5% last period.
  • The FHA share of mortgage application volume went from 8.8% to 9.3% last period.

Mortgage Application Volume Rises 8.5%

The week ending March 4th saw mortgage application numbers increase by 8.5%. This increase was also in line with the first average mortgage rate decrease in about three months. Compared the same time last year, mortgage application volume overall was down 35.8% with the largest drop in applications coming from refinance applications specifically (49.9%). Refinances made up 49.5% of new mortgage applications this past period.

 

  • The FHA share of mortgage applications increased to 8.7% from 8.6% this past period.
  • The VA share of mortgage applications increased to 10.4% from 10.2% this past period.