FHA Refis Lead Surge in Mortgage Applications

Mortgage application volume increased 2% for the period ending December 3rd according to a survey from the Mortgage Bankers Association. Compared to last year, mortgage application volume has dropped across all loan products, but still remains high overall. The main obstacle continues to be lack of inventory creating higher homes prices than some buyers are prepared for. Homebuying activity is still close to the highest levels the market has seen since March. Refinances made up 63.9% of total mortgage applications this past period.

 

  • The FHA share of mortgage application volume was 9.9%, up from 8.9% the previous period.
  • The VA share of mortgage application volume was 10.7%, up from 10.0% the previous period.

 

 

 

 

Average Home Prices See Historic Leap

According to a Federal Housing Finance Agency report, home prices posted the largest ever year-over-year gains since the beginning of the FHFA House Price Index. Home prices across the country rose 18.5% this past year. Specifically, the “mountain division”, including Arizona, Colorado, Idaho, Montana, Nevada, New Mexico, Utah, and Wyoming, went up 25% in the third quarter of this year. Annual gains can be seen in housing prices in every area of the country in 2021. As has been the case throughout the entirety of 2021, low inventory and high demand continue to play a part in the rising home prices in the United States. While home price increases month to month have started to slow, there is no doubt the demand for housing will remain high going into the new year.

Investors Spend Big in Q3

According to a recent report by Redfin, real estate investors spent a record $63.6 billion on home purchases in the 3rd quarter of 2021. This number represents a 78% increase from this time last year. Investors acquired a total of 90,215 homes in Q3 which represents a 80.2% increase from 2020. As increasing home prices are forcing more Americans to consider renting, real estate investors have more opportunities for tenants in their properties. One negative impact that the market is seeing as a result of investors being more active in real estate is the competition this is bringing to individual homebuyers looking to purchase homes. These cash rich investors purchased homes with full cash offers 75% of the time in Q3. Of all real estate transactions in the third quarter of 2021, real estate investors made up 18.2%. This number is considerably higher than last year. In large markets such as Atlanta, Phoenix, and Charlotte investors made up over 30% of all transactions in Q3. As home prices continue to rise and more investors enter the housing market, it may become more difficult for homebuyers to compete for homes throughout the country.

As Q3 Ends, Purchase Mortgages Outpace Refinances

This quarter marked the first time since the pandemic that applications for new purchase mortgages outpaced the application volume for refinances. New home purchase mortgages accounted for 53% of the total application volume in the 3rd quarter. The demand for rate and term refinances decreased 23% year-over-year marking the end of what many would consider a year plus long refinance boom.

Equity Rises $2.9 Trillion for Homeowners in 2021 2nd Quarter

According to a report by Corelogic, homeowners gained $2.9 trillion in equity during the second quarter. This $2.9 trillion gain equates to a 29.3% year-over-year increase from 2020. The growth in homeowner equity allows for tens of millions of Americans to feel a higher sense of financial cushion and fend off the fears of foreclosure brought about by the uncertainty of the pandemic. As the housing market continues to stay hot, equity in homes should continue to rise also.

Keys to the Appraisal Concerns within the Private Lender Sector

According to John Tedesco, the senior VP of business development at Appraisal Nation, stiffer appraisal regulations and harder entry requirements for appraisers are leading to longer appraisal wait times with higher costs of completion. Because of the high demand for appraisals, appraisal wait times have increased from about five or six days to two or three weeks in some cases. Similarly, the price has risen from between $400-$500 to $700-$800. Appraisal Nation is one of the top appraisal management companies in the United States working with more than 26,000 appraisers every year completing 150,000 residential and commercial appraisals. Since 2013, the number of real estate appraisers has been rapidly falling. In 2013 there were over 89,000 licensed appraisers according to Appraisal Institute, but now there are only about 78,000 with 20% of them being older than 66. As the need for appraisals continues to rise and the work force ages towards retirement, new appraisers are needed to quell the increasing demand.

Purchase Mortgage Application Volume Trends Up

Mortgage application volume increased 0.3% this past week ending in September 10th. This increase in application volume was led by purchase applications coming in at a much higher level than the previous weekly period. Refinance applications fell by 3% as the purchase applications rose 8%, marking the highest level of purchase mortgage applications since April 2021.

 

  • The FHA share of mortgage application volume dipped to 9.9% from 10.9% the week prior.
  • The VA share of mortgage application volume dipped to 10.2% from 10.4% the week prior.

Homebuyers Flocking to Florida

The Sunshine State has seen a vast population increase in recent years, especially in Miami. According to a Redfin monthly migration report, the net inflow of Redfin users moving to Miami was 7,610. Last year during the same month 2,216 people moved to Miami. Of more local relevancy, Cape Coral saw 4,315 Redfin users move to the area, an increase from the 2,778 that moved to Cape Coral in July 2020. The warm weather, beaches, and low taxes are huge factors in the influx of new Florida residents. As we get later into 2021, we can expect to see a high volume of buyers continue to seek Florida housing. 

Fewer First Time Homebuyers are Competing for Homes

From June to July existing-home sales increased by 2% according to a report from the National Association of Realtors. Year-over-year there was a 1.5% increase in completed transactions of single-family homes, townhomes, and condominiums. After having 12+ months of low inventory, the availability of unsold homes in the market rose 7.3% from June to July. As more and more sellers enter the market, the hope of leading economists is that it will level the playing field for homebuyers moving forward. First time homebuyers may still feel a bit priced out of the market as the median existing home sales price rose to $359,900 in July, up from $305,600 last year. This 17.8% increase in price seems to be pushing some buyers out of the market. NAR released a report recently stating that 30% of sales in July were completed by first time homebuyers compared to 34% this time last year. Adding more inventory and having purchase prices stabilize should allow new buyers to be more comfortable in today’s market.

First Time Home Buyer Tips

With today’s housing environment, you’re going to see a lot of competition when putting in an offer for a purchase. Having all of your metaphorical ducks in a row before you put in your offer should make you ready to make decisions involving purchasing a home.

  1. Get your credit score and down payment together. Having a strong credit score will help ensure you qualify for a mortgage for your home purchase and help you receive a more favorable rate. Having your down payment saved will allow you to put more money down on your home and possibly avoid paying PMI.
  2. Get preapproved for a mortgage. Knowing what homes are in your price range will eliminate wasting time looking at homes you can’t afford.
  3. Choose a great Realtor. Pick an agent who has experience with the market you’re looking in.
  4. Understand the mortgage process. While you may not need to know the minor details of the entire process, knowing your timeline and what documents you will need to provide will help save you time and stress worrying you may be forgetting something.

Existing Home Sales Dip Again

For the fourth month in a row, sales of existing homes have dropped according to a report from the National Association of Realtors. The main factor behind the volume of existing home sales dropping is that the inventory of homes for sale continues to dwindle. This low inventory is causing median existing-home prices to rise (23.6% from May 2020 to May 2021) pricing some buyers out of the market. Region by region. the Midwest saw an increase in existing home sales month-over-month, but the Northeast, South, and West fell by 1.4%, .4%, and 4.1% respectively. Year-over-year each of these regions saw a double digit rise in existing home sales. As home builders rush to build on already purchased lots and materials to build remain tough to find, existing home sales may see a bounce back in the next few months.

VA-like Housing Bill Proposed for First Responders and Teachers

New legislation would offer a benefit similar to VA loans to first responders and teachers looking to buy homes. This new bill called the Homes for Every Local Protector Educator and Responder Act was introduced on May 13th. This bill would allow first responders and teachers to finance up to 100% of the price of their home purchase subject to FHA loan limits. Similar to an FHA loan, borrowers would pay an up-front mortgage insurance premium which could also be financed. This would replace the monthly insurance premium. The new program, if passed, would be administered by the Federal Housing Administration. Under this proposed bill public/private school teachers, prison guards, police officers, firefighters, paramedics, and emergency medical technicians would all be eligible for this benefit.