Do Mortgage Rates Have Seasons?

In a recent study by tech startup Haus, they analyzed over 8.5 million mortgage originations between 2012 and 2018. In this study, Haus found that mortgage rates were the lowest in the beginning of the year around January when there were fewer home mortgage applications coming in. In order to compete for the lower levels of application volume, lenders were forced to make their rates more desirable than their competition. Of note, in 2020 this did not hold to be true as the high volume of mortgage originations allowed lenders to keep their prices relatively steady. That being said, as the economy begins it’s post-pandemic recovery it’s believed that mortgage rates will return to a more predictable pattern. According to a chief economist with Freddie Mac, mortgage rates are expected to stay near record lows as the economy continues to rebound this year.